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PUN AGOSTO 2020

Pubblicato il 16 settembre 2020 alle 06.00

L'Estate continua nel nostro Bel Paese insieme al flusso dei turisti che resta l'attività predominante del nostro mercato economico estivo. Le attività ricettive turistiche e il caldo pressoché costante hanno fatto lievitare la domanda energetica nel periodo Luglio/Agosto con relativo ribalzo verso l'alto dei costi sul PUN medio a 40,32 €/MWh (- 9,22 €/MWh rispetto ad agosto 2019). L'aumento ha sicuramente una parte speculativa data l'abbondante produzione rilevata nello stesso periodo superiore anche al 2019 e alla domanda stessa. Il mese in corso di settembre è in crescita per un effetto trainante ottimistico del PIL interno Nazionale. 

Il futuro incerto è fortemente legato all'evoluzione dell'epidemia COVID19 e al risultato delle attività legate all'ECOBONUS 110% che potranno rappresentare la chiave di svolta. Un ritorno al lockdown, seppur parziale, o la quasi libera circolazione di persone e merci determinerà l'andamento del mercato energetico. Ad ogni  modo, io punterei ancora sul mercato indicizzato del PUN in quanto, almeno sino a dicembre 2020, difficilmente potrà superare il costo attualmente legato ai contratti a prezzo fisso e bloccato per 12 o più mesi. Di controbalzo, l'attività trainante del risparmio energetico e l'autoproduzione con fotovoltaico, porterebbe ad una riduzione della domanda energetica sul mercato all'ingrosso con la logica conseguenza della diminuzione del costo della materia.

Nella rivelazione del PUN nel mese di ottobre potremo essere più precisi sul futuro energetico che ci attende

RP


Categorie: PUN

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